Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Marble | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 19 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Max Christie * | 24 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyson Walker | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Malik Hall | 23 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keon Coleman | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Davis Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Peterson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 30 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Filip Rebraca * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tony Perkins * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joe Toussaint | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ahron Ulis | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kris Murray | 16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Connor McCaffery | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Josh Ogundele | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Ash | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Luc Laketa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Riley Mulvey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter