Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bohannon | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ahron Ulis | 20 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Joe Toussaint | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Josh Ogundele | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Riley Mulvey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kris Murray * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Filip Rebraca * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tony Perkins | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Connor McCaffery | 19 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Furst * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Thompson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Trevion Williams | 24 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter