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2022-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Taylor 39 4-11 0-2 0-0 4 5 2 0 5 8 3 -
A. Hayes 36 6-12 0-1 2-2 5 2 1 0 7 14 3 -
Jerkaila Jordan 32 1-9 0-4 0-0 4 0 3 0 2 2 -2 -
C. Thompson 30 9-14 3-6 0-3 5 0 1 0 0 21 13 -
Aislynn Hayes 27 3-7 2-5 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 9 6 -
C. Kohl 26 2-3 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 2 0 7 12 -
A. Jones 10 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Troup 37 4-8 3-5 5-6 1 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
Mama Dembele 36 3-6 0-2 1-2 5 6 2 0 4 7 10 -
A. Blackwell 30 4-10 1-2 5-6 18 1 2 1 5 14 21 -
H. Frank 29 7-11 2-4 3-4 3 1 2 0 1 19 13 -
L. Hansen 27 3-9 3-7 0-0 4 2 2 1 3 9 6 -
Izzy Higginbottom 12 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Williams 12 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Kiya Dorroh 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jayla Kelly 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 3 1 2 3 -
S. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter