Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hayes | 40 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Jerkaila Jordan | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Taylor | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Thompson | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Kohl | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Farley | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aislynn Hayes | 20 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hughes | 36 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aicha Coulibaly | 33 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 5 | - |
| S. Wells | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Graves | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| X. Wiggins | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Mar'shaun Bostic | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| H. Scott-Grayson | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
* = starter