Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (77-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayley Frank * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -8.1 |
| Mama Dembele * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1 | +0.8 |
| Haley Troup * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | -10.0 |
| Lauren Hansen * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -14.8 |
| LaDazhia Williams * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -10.9 |
| Aijha Blackwell | 32 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -8.4 |
| Izzy Higginbottom | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.9 |
| Sara-Rose Smith | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Kiya Dorroh | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.8 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caterrion Thompson * | 40 | 10-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | +10.5 |
| Myah Taylor * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +24.1 |
| Anastasia Hayes * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 9-11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 21 | +11.7 |
| Denae Carter * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +8.4 |
| Jerkaila Jordan * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Aislynn Hayes | 13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Charlotte Kohl | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Ashley Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
* = starter