Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.3% | 0.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.4% | 0.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +10 (71-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tennessee Lady Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horston * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 13 | -14.1 |
| Jordan Walker * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Alexus Dye * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Tamari Key * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -3.6 |
| R. Burrell * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Tess Darby | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Sara Puckett | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -17.2 |
| Brooklynn Miles | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -19.4 |
| Emily Saunders | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aicha Coulibaly * | 37 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | +27.5 |
| Jala Jordan * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +12.4 |
| Sania Wells * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +12.9 |
| Annie Hughes * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +15.3 |
| Honesty Scott-Grayson * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Mar'shaun Bostic | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | +25.1 |
| Amoura Graves | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +15.3 |
| Xaria Wiggins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +7.2 |
* = starter