Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +14 (90-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pointer * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Alexis Morris * | 33 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | -3.3 |
| Autumn Newby * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Jailin Cherry * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -14.8 |
| Faustine Aifuwa * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -15.1 |
| Ryann Payne | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Awa Trasi | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Hannah Gusters | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Timia Ware | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Sarah Shematsi | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +9.0 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla Daniels * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +25.9 |
| Amber Ramirez * | 38 | 10-18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | +24.9 |
| Samara Spencer * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +16.0 |
| Jersey Wolfenbarger * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +21.1 |
| Sasha Goforth * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +21.0 |
| Rylee Langerman | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Erynn Barnum | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Avery Hughes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Destinee Oberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Ashlyn Sage | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Emrie Ellis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Elauna Eaton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
* = starter