Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -1 (83-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Plum | 26 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| K. Stokes | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Wilson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Hamby | 24 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| R. Williams | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Gray | 18 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Slocum | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Park | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Cambage | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Peddy | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 25 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Nurse | 23 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Walker | 7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter