Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 36 | 5-18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Beatrice Mompremier | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kaila Charles | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 38 | 11-18 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bria Hartley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter