Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 34 | 4-15 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Mitchell * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lindsay Allen * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Teaira McCowan * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jessica Breland * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Victoria Vivians | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jantel Lavender | 19 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Emma Cannon | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Wilson | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Crystal Dangerfield * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aerial Powers * | 20 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bridget Carleton | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Natalie Achonwa | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 18 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jessica Shepard | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter