Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -1 (75-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 37 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| B. Turner | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| K. Nurse | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Peddy | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Walker | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Hartley | 10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 36 | 9-21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| M. Billings | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Williams | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| O. Sims | 28 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Hayes | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Dupree | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. McDonald | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter