Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -1 (75-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Megan Walker | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bria Hartley | 9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams * | 36 | 9-21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Odyssey Sims * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Dietrick | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Candice Dupree | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aari McDonald | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter