Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +18 (93-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 35 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 32 | 9-21 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tina Charles | 25 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Erica McCall | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Zellous | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 35 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 24 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter