Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Allen | 39 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 36 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 35 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 35 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 28 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kylee Shook | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DiDi Richards | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 38 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 32 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 24 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter