Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 35 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 33 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 25 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Te'a Cooper | 22 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Lauren Cox | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Arella Guirantes | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 37 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Breland | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Aaliyah Wilson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter