Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.2% | 8.8% | -12.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 36 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 32 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Jackie Young | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 26 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 24 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Cambage | 21 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monique Billings | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 27 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 16 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter