Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 37 | 6-23 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 32 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| S. Bird | 29 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 40 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 34 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 31 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter