Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 36 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Crystal Bradford | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 19 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 36 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 33 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 32 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 29 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Te'a Cooper | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lauren Cox | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter