Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 31 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 30 | 2-16 | 0-9 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 29 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Erica McCall | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 34 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 30 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Turner | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Smith | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Walker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter