Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Clarendon | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 35 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 37 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 28 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Beatrice Mompremier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter