Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 39 | 10-27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 37 | 2-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Crystal Bradford | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Monique Billings | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 40 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 39 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 38 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 24 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Lauren Cox | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Te'a Cooper | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter