Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 36 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| D. Robinson | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| V. Vivians | 30 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. McCowan | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Breland | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Cannon | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Allen | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Wilson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| B. Turner | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Nurse | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Peddy | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Walker | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Smith | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter