Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 34 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 34 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 30 | 13-22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 30 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| DiDi Richards | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kylee Shook | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leaonna Odom | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 39 | 8-21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 33 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 30 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter