Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -16 (79-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 30 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jackie Young | 25 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| JiSu Park | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Destiny Slocum | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 31 | 4-19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -6 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 23 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Charli Collier | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 19 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bella Alarie | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter