Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -9 (90-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith * | 43 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 11-11 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner * | 42 | 14-24 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 25 | - |
| B. Turner * | 39 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 38 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Megan Walker | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 42 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Cambage * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 28 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| R. Williams * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter