Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (26.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -31 (68-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| D. Dantas | 30 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. McBride | 27 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| S. Fowles | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Shepard | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| C. Dangerfield | 21 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| B. Carleton | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Nurse | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Walker | 19 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Smith | 17 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| S. Peddy | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter