Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +3.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (88-79). Ratings: 2022 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Zahui B * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Erica Wheeler * | 32 | 9-19 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Te'a Cooper * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Karlie Samuelson * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brittney Sykes | 31 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kristine Anigwe | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Arella Guirantes | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 9-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Megan Walker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter