Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +1 (90-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 43 | 9-24 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Chelsea Gray * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Liz Cambage * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jackie Young * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Riquna Williams * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dearica Hamby | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JiSu Park | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 44 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 42 | 3-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 40 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 30 | - | - | |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 37 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Damiris Dantas * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jessica Shepard | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bridget Carleton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter