Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| B. Griner | 33 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Peddy | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Nurse | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Walker | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zahui B. | 35 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 31 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| K. Toliver | 29 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Holmes | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Sykes | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Guirantes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter