Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✗ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -18 (59-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 30 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| S. Sabally | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| B. Alarie | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray | 22 | 2-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | - |
| K. Thornton | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 19 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Harris | 18 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Collier | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. Harrison | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Dungee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 32 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Nurse | 29 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Walker | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Turner | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Peddy | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Smith | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| H. Gorecki | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter