Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (81-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 29 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| I. Harrison | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Sabally | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 25 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| T. Harris | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Thornton | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 20 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Alarie | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Collier | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 38 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 36 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 31 | - |
| K. Nurse | 29 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Walker | 29 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Peddy | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter