Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +20 (100-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 33 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 24 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 22 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Monique Billings | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Crystal Bradford | 18 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 33 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 23 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 15 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter