Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (77-74). Ratings: 2022 season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 39 | 3-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Diamond DeShields * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 15 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ruthy Hebard | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 18 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dana Evans | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kia Nurse * | 40 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brianna Turner * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 38 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Megan Walker * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter