Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -4 (85-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| B. Griner * | 35 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 31 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 30 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| B. Turner * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Megan Walker * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Gorecki | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 35 | 9-24 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Charli Collier * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kristine Anigwe | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chelsea Dungee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dana Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter