Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +36 (113-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teaira McCowan * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 31 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Breland * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 19 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Lauren Cox | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kysre Gondrezick | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams * | 39 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 27 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 27 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| L. Cambage * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| JiSu Park | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter