Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +21 (88-67). Ratings: 2022 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teaira McCowan * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Victoria Vivians * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Bernadett Határ | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Breland | 16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kysre Gondrezick | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brionna Jones * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 24 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Briann January * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 33 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Stephanie Jones | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Beatrice Mompremier | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter