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2021-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shaver Jr. * 31 3-9 3-6 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
N. Smith 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
L. Milner 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 23 3-8 1-3 2-2 5 2 3 0 3 9 8 -
M. Dandridge 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
J. Hardaway 9 1-3 0-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter