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2021-03-18

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.1% 68.9% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (85-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jolly * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 17 23 -
E. Bandoumel * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 16 17 -
I. Jasey * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 4 8 -
E. Chargois * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 2 2 4 12 -
W. Douglas 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 9 14 -
C. Smith IV 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
E. Ray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shaver Jr. * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 13 17 -
N. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
L. Milner 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 6 -

* = starter