Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Konrad | 39 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | - |
| C. Hall | 38 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Trpcic | 38 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Turner | 35 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| S. Stobbart | 34 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Harris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Svanholm | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Shine | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Carreon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Gibb | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Calip | 36 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Franklin | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| E. Ruffridge | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Wilson | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Manning | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Bhinhar | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hipp | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Jackson | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Gartner | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. Rocca | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter