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2021-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -23 (62-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Davison 37 10-15 5-7 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 29 20 -
D. Trice 36 8-15 3-8 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 21 12 -
N. Reuvers 26 2-8 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 4 1 7 8 -
M. Potter 24 3-6 2-2 1-2 4 3 0 3 0 9 13 -
A. Ford 23 4-10 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Jon. Davis 23 3-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 6 12 -
T. Anderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Hedstrom 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Be. Carlson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Wahl * 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
S. Crowl 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Davis 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Gilmore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Higginbottom 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Taphorn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Love * 28 4-13 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 10 1 -
K. Walton * 26 2-4 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
A. Bacot * 24 6-9 0-0 3-3 4 1 2 0 1 15 12 -
L. Black * 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
G. Brooks * 22 4-12 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 2 2 10 9 -
RJ Davis 22 2-9 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 5 3 -
D. Sharpe 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 4 2 -
W. Kessler 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Harris 12 3-5 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
A. Platek 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Manley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
W. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K.J. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Farris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. McAdoo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter