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2021-03-22

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 22.8% 77.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas * 40 10-23 3-5 7-7 3 0 1 1 2 30 10 -
J. Smart * 40 10-23 2-10 5-5 9 6 1 0 1 27 19 -
T. Watford * 35 4-11 0-1 3-8 4 0 0 3 0 11 7 -
D. Days * 27 2-6 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
A. Hyatt * 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 3 0 0 2 7 -
J. LeBlanc Sr. 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
E. Gaines 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Wilkinson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Wagner * 33 5-9 1-4 4-6 7 2 0 1 2 15 14 -
M. Smith * 32 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 4 5 1 -
E. Brooks * 32 7-11 5-9 2-2 4 7 0 0 1 21 20 -
H. Dickinson * 31 4-7 0-0 4-5 11 3 0 1 3 12 17 -
B. Johns Jr. * 27 2-6 0-2 3-4 5 0 1 2 0 7 9 -
C. Brown 27 6-9 3-6 6-6 3 1 0 0 0 21 16 -
T. Williams II 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Davis 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter