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2021-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shannon Jr. * 35 6-16 3-4 5-5 3 0 1 0 0 20 8 -
Mac McClung * 35 2-6 1-2 4-7 3 2 0 1 1 9 8 -
Kyler Edwards * 35 4-11 3-6 0-1 8 5 1 1 3 11 12 -
K. McCullar * 34 6-13 1-4 2-3 8 2 0 0 1 15 11 -
Marcus Santos-Silva * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 10 -
Micah Peavy 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chibuzo Agbo 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jamarius Burton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
Clarence Nadolny 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Avery Benson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyreek Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Smith * 39 9-11 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 1 1 20 17 -
Moses Moody * 39 6-11 2-6 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 15 10 -
Davonte Davis * 37 7-15 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 15 6 -
Jalen Tate * 31 2-9 0-1 6-6 3 2 0 0 2 10 4 -
Jaylin Williams * 28 0-4 0-1 1-2 10 4 0 0 2 1 9 -
JD Notae 23 2-11 2-7 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 -3 -
Desi Sills 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter