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2021-03-30

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Mobley * 35 5-11 0-0 7-8 5 3 0 0 0 17 14 -
T. Eaddy * 35 4-13 2-6 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 11 1 -
I. Mobley * 35 7-11 1-3 4-5 7 3 1 0 0 19 19 -
D. Peterson * 34 5-13 1-4 2-2 6 0 2 0 1 13 7 -
I. White * 14 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Agbonkpolo 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 4 2 -
E. Anderson 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Goodwin 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Baumann 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kispert 37 6-19 3-10 3-5 8 2 0 0 1 18 8 -
A. Nembhard 36 3-7 0-3 1-2 1 4 1 0 1 7 5 -
J. Ayayi 29 4-5 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 1 2 9 12 -
D. Harris 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Arlauskas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Ballo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Suggs * 35 7-11 2-4 2-2 10 8 0 0 3 18 22 -
D. Timme * 31 10-19 0-1 3-4 5 4 3 0 0 23 16 -
A. Watson 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 0 5 -
A. Cook 10 2-2 2-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
J. Strawther 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Gregg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter