Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Smith * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Desi Sills | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| JD Notae | 15 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaCio Teague | 37 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jared Butler | 33 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Davion Mitchell | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Matthew Mayer | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mark Vital | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Flo Thamba * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Adam Flagler | 26 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter