Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Etienne | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake Kyman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jaquez Jr. * | 45 | 11-20 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Johnny Juzang * | 41 | 9-20 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Jules Bernard * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Tyger Campbell * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cody Riley * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| David Singleton | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kenneth Nwuba | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 42 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Rocket Watts * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Julius Marble * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Joey Hauser | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter