🐻⬇️🏀

UCLA Bruins 86
@
Michigan State Spartans 80
2021-03-18

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 ✗ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% - ✓
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 86.8% 13.2% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Etienne 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Kyman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Jaquez Jr. * 45 11-20 3-4 2-4 4 2 0 1 0 27 14 -
J. Juzang * 41 9-20 3-9 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 23 7 -
J. Bernard * 38 4-8 1-2 2-4 8 2 1 2 0 11 16 -
T. Campbell * 34 2-6 1-2 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 7 3 -
C. Riley * 26 3-7 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 0 2 11 9 -
D. Singleton 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
J. Clark 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
K. Nwuba 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Henry * 42 6-12 2-3 2-2 5 7 1 1 4 16 14 -
J. Langford * 35 5-8 1-1 1-2 7 3 0 1 2 12 13 -
R. Watts * 33 4-12 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 9 2 -
M. Hall * 26 3-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 10 11 -
J. Marble * 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
G. Brown 24 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 7 4 -
M. Bingham Jr. 20 1-2 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 3 0 7 10 -
J. Hauser 16 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
A. Hoggard 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Sissoko 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter