Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | -3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tomaic | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Gomez * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Seiko | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Butler | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jenkins Jr. * | 38 | 11-23 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 11 | - |
| C. Grill * | 36 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Tillis * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Hamilton * | 29 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Diong * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Wood | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| N. Blake | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Del Cadia | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter