Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -23 (53-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 34 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Adam Miller * | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 31 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| D. Williams * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 19 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Hamlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Griffith | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Underwood | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Padilla Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Brooks | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Franz Wagner | 31 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mike Smith | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson | 22 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chaundee Brown | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Austin Davis | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Johns Jr. | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jaron Faulds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeb Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Nuñez | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Williams II | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jace Howard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter