Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josip Vrankic * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Giordan Williams * | 37 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Christian Carlyle * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Guglielmo Caruso * | 28 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Miguel Tomley | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Bediako | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vittorio Reynoso-Avila | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert | 39 | 10-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard | 36 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Oumar Ballo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Ayayi * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Cook | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Anton Watson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter