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2021-03-13

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies Grand Canyon Lopes Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (7.9 off)

Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Gilyard II * 37 6-13 4-11 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 18 9 -
J. McCants * 36 1-8 0-5 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 4 3 -
J. Rice * 34 5-12 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 12 4 -
D. Tillman * 31 4-10 2-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
C. Henry * 28 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
C.J. Roberts 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
W. Likayi 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. McNair Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Doakes 1 0-1 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Rewalt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Owens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Grand Canyon Lopes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Blacksher Jr. * 36 7-10 3-4 2-2 7 2 3 0 0 19 21 -
A. Midtgaard * 30 5-9 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 0 12 12 -
O. Frayer * 28 3-9 1-6 2-5 0 2 0 0 1 9 1 -
A. Lever * 27 3-10 0-5 1-1 5 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
M. Dixon * 27 2-6 1-2 5-6 4 0 0 0 3 10 5 -
G. McGlothan 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
C. McMillian 16 3-5 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 9 7 -
S. Miller-Moore 11 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Lloyd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Okpoh 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Zdor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter