Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levy Renaud | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Perry * | 38 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Adams * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dre Fuller * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Darin Green * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Mahan | 33 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Sean Mobley | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Avery Diggs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boogie Ellis | 31 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Landers Nolley | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries | 29 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Lester Quinones | 28 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Damion Baugh | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter